Anthropic policy chief Jack Clark says, 'AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year'

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Jack Clark, co-founder and head of policy at Anthropic, told an Oxford audience he expects AI working with humans could contribute to a Nobel Prize-worthy discovery within 12 months. He predicted bipedal robots will assist tradespeople in about two years, AI-run businesses could be profitable within 18 months, and systems may design their own successors by the end of 2028. Clark emphasized rapid, unexpected progress and warned of serious risks, including a non-zero chance of hostile AI and societal underpreparedness similar to the COVID-19 response. He also highlighted Anthropic work such as Mythos for finding cybersecurity flaws and urged stronger foresight and regulation as AI capabilities accelerate.

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