Poll: Liberals take lead for the first time in years.
Summary
The Liberals have firmly taken pole position for the first time in years, and these new numbers reflect a broader shift that goes beyond a simple bump in the polls. There’s a sense that many voters have let go of lingering grievances tied to the old Liberal leadership, creating fresh space for Carney’s message to take root. Litigating the Trudeau era appears less and less effective as public attention pivots to where each party will lead us next—especially in the face of growing global volatility and threats posed by Donald Trump’s presidency. Critically, the Liberals aren’t just ahead on vote intention; they’re also more likely to turn out at the ballot box, suggesting a real enthusiasm advantage. With so many Canadians eager to move beyond past baggage, it looks like the leaders who can convincingly paint a forward-looking picture—and speak directly to the challenges posed by Trump—will have the upper hand.